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Friday, October 2, 2015
Friday, September 25, 2015
|This week, you can kiss my a**|
Winnings last week: -$20 (2-2-1)
Winnings to date: $60 (5-4-1, 5.4% profit)
All times Dallas time...
Bowling Green (-4.5) at Purdue (11:00 am CDT)
The difference between the elite in the MAC and the dregs of the Big 10 is that the elite of the MAC are better. Both teams are 1-2 playing a pretty difficult schedule so far, but BGSU has a more quality win (over a Big 10 dreg Maryland). Maryland is better than Purdue. The Falcons win this one and it's not an upset.
Maryland (+16.5) at West Virginia (2:00 pm CDT)
Maryland is bad, but it's not like they're playing TCU or Baylor from the Big 12. West Virginia isn't ranked, it's just way too many points. This game has played close in the past, I don't see that the Mountaineers are going to beat the Terps this bad.
TCU (-6) at Texas Tech (3:45 pm CDT) - Pick of the Week
Everyone is high on the Raiders BUT let's remember that Arkansas team lost the week before at home to Toledo. TCU hasn't had a good offseason in terms of player attrition but they are still the better team here. Tech also might have a let down week, seems like a Frogs win by 7 would be expected, maybe more.
Washington (+3) vs. California (4:00 pm CDT)
A very evenly matched game in the Pac 12 is ripe for the apple picking (for Washington) or grape picking (for Cal). I pick apples. California won a wild shootout in Texas last week, you wonder how much that took out of their team. And their defense didn't look good. Washington took a tough loss to a good Boise team, they should handle the Bears at home.
Arizona (+2.5) vs. California-Los Angeles (7:00 pm CDT)
There are three intriguing Pac 12 games in prime time with road favored teams, this is one of them. Arizona under Rich Rodriguez has improved immensely. It seems like every year UCLA is ranked pretty high then loses some games early. I like the home team in an early season "upset" (mild as it may be).
May the gambling gods be on your side, with no late scores to ruin a perfectly picked point spread!
- JR Ewing
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
Wednesday, September 16, 2015
|I'm a gambling man|
Last year I went for only TD (ish) underdogs straight up. Feast or famine. I'm still hungry.
Back to a traditional approach. I take the ENTIRE college football Saturday slate. And give you the top 5 winners. Five gives you a win/loss every week. Betting $110 to win $100. If I find a juicy S/U or over/under bet I'll give you that, too. But back to basics.
So I'm starting the week at +$80. Why you ask. Well read this tweet and weep.
Winners: OU, MissSt, IowaInstead of Blog, here are my winners: OU (-1.5), Texas (-14.5), MissSt (+4.5), Georgia (-20.5), Iowa (-3)— lhd_on_sports (@lhd_on_sports) September 12, 2015
Losers: UT, UGA
So what about this week?
Winnings last week: $80 (3-2)
Winnings to date: $80 (3-2, 15% profit)
Duke (-3.5) vs. Northwestern (11:30 am CDT)
I'll be honest, this is a feel pick. I have KILLED it over the years betting on Duke. Northwestern has some swag for beating Stanford, but I love the Blue Devils offense and don't like Northwestern away from home. A TD is an easy win.
Nebraska (+3.5) at Miami (2:30 pm CDT)
Oh the historical games between these two in the 1980s and 1990s in the Orange Bowl. But alas, both teams are trying to regain glory. Nebraska took a gut punch week one vs. BYU, but it was feeling itself out. This is a bit of an anti-Miami pick. I'm just not sold they are going to turn the corner under Al Golden. I'll take the points and play.
Texas (+6.5) vs. California (6:30 CDT)
I am a Longhorns fan, which gives me bias and gives me insight. I don't think we know who the Longhorns are yet. They have some talent on the field that is still figuring it out. The Notre Dame game was an abomination but just one data point. The game has uncertainty as Cal upgrades in competition. It could go either way, but I see the Longhorns winning this one at home.
Iowa (-3) vs. Pittsburgh (7:00 CDT)
Iowa is playing some good football off the win vs. rival Iowa State. And is at home. Against a Pittsburgh team that lost their all-ACC RB. Why is this just -3? Under the lights, for whatever that is worth, I'll take the Hawkeyes (as I did last week) to win this by more than that.
Alabama (-6.5) vs. Ole Miss (8:15 pm CDT) - Pick of the Week
I like the revenge factor and Alabama playing with hunger in a big game at home. At night. I really am down on Ole Miss. I know they put up points, but that was against two or three levels of competition below the Tide. I don't see this within 14 points let alone 6.5. Sucker bet.
So place your bets people. See you next week!
- JR Ewing