Who am I?
Follow me on Twitter: @lhd_on_sports
Monday, January 18, 2021
What a performance on what may go down as the greatest college football team of all time. Alabama completed their perfect season with a thrashing of third ranked Ohio State Buckeyes 52-24 in a game that was pretty much over by halftime. Two players stood out statistically and I'm giving the Sportsman of the Week nod to the one that played the entire game. Alabama QB Mac Jones was near perfect in a technical dismantling of the Buckeyes defense. He finished the evening only missing on 9 passes on a 36-45 virtuoso performance, tallying 464 yards (including 353 in the first half) and 5 TD. His favorite target was Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith who caught almost half the yards at 215 on 12 catches for 3 TD. But after Smith left with an injury at halftime, Jones kept the pressure on with a back-breaking TD pass at the end of the 3rd quarter to put the Crimson Tide up by 20 or more points permanently. It was close choosing between the two, but surrounded by superstars, Jones was the leader and a deserving Longhorndave Sportsman of the Week!
Monday, January 11, 2021
For the first time in National Football League (NFL) history, a playoff weekend featured six (6) games of action and all but two of the playoff teams. And it was spectacular. The games featured several veteran quarterbacks presumably in their final couple of years (Brady, Brees, Roethlisberger, Rivers) but it was breakthroughs by younger players that stole the show. Maybe none more than Buffalo Bills phenom Josh Allen. Playing in his first home playoff game, his efforts gave Buffalo their first playoff victory in 25 years with a thrilling victory over the Indianapolis Colts 27-24. Their last victory was shortly after their four consecutive American Football Conference championships and even before the "Music City Miracle" heartbreaking defeat two decades ago. Allen threw with pinpoint accuracy completing 26/35 passes for 324 yards and 2 TD. But it may have been his legs that were more important. With a rushing game stuck in neutral, Allen ran for 54 yards on 11 carries and another TD to lead his team in rushing as well. All in all he accounted for 355 of the Bills 397 yards (taking away the sacks) and all three touchdowns. Allen looks all the bit of a bargain at number 7 overall draft pick in 2018 and has he and the Bills poised for many more playoff victories. Perhaps this Sunday against the Baltimore Ravens. Josh Allen is the Longhorndave Sportsman of the Week!
Monday, January 4, 2021
Amazing we enter our 10th year of Sportsmen and Sportswomen of the week, we continue where we started. College Football Bowl Games. One of the highlights of the sports calendar. Admittedly 2020-21 was a tough year for Bowl Games, but they ended in a surprising star in the College Football Playoff (something that didn't exist 9 years ago). The Sugar Bowl was dominated by Ohio State and led by who may have given the most clutch performance in 2020-21. Buckeyes quarterback Justin Fields shredded the favored Clemson Tigers defense and made victory look easy. After a completely lackluster, even poor performance in the Big 10 title game, Fields came to life. And played the game of his life. Fields completed 22/28 passes for 385 yards and six touchdowns. Six. He also ran for 42 yards just to keep the chains moving. Time and time again he dropped back and made key passes to guys in coverage to break the will of the Tigers. All this after suffering what appeared to be a game ending rub injury on what was ruled a controversial targeting on Clemson's James Skalski who (according to referee and replay ruling) "targeted" Fields in the ribs with his helmet leaving him wincing upon walking or throwing and Skalski sidelined for the rest of the game. But Fields persevered in an heroic effort. They'll need a repeat performance to beat the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship game, but Fields was definitely the man of the match and the Sportsman of the Week.
Tuesday, December 29, 2020
|Who will join the Hall of Fame |
legends this year?
In a tradition I let slip the last few years I am picking up again to convey my thoughts on who I would vote for if I had a ballot for the 2021 National Baseball Hall of Fame. As most readers probably know, the actual voting committee is the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA). Prior to 2016, once a member, always a vote. In 2016, several changes to the voting process were made (see my Blog here) culling the list of voters to those who had covered the game in the prior 10 years. This played out to remove a number of small vote ballots and increase percentages for those on the bubble.
The BBWAA vote will be revealed on Major League Baseball (MLB) Network on Tuesday, January 26, 2021. The Hall of Fame vote reveal remains one of the most anticipated moments on the baseball calendar and certainly of the offseason. Here is the 2021 National Baseball Hall of Fame Candidates Eligible for vote (via Baseball Reference with prior year percentage total for returning candidates). 75% of all ballots cast must include the players name for induction.
There are a few overarching factors that cannot be ignored when it comes to voting.
1) A major controversial specter over the Hall will continue to be Performance Enhancing Drug (PED) use in baseball primarily in the 1990s, an era for which many players accused are now appearing on the Hall of Fame ballot. There are players whose on-field performance clearly merits first ballot election, however because of their associated with substances that enhanced their performance, many members of the BBWAA has been hesitant to cast votes their way at least in the 75% needed for induction. Because the official voting rules include the words "integrity, sportsmanship, and character," their reluctance is justified in my mind. For my selection, I will not presume guilt, but if there is legal, eye witness (including Mitchell Report) or strong anecdotal evidence of PED use, I will strongly weigh against voting for the candidate.
2) A change in consideration for me is how to assess pitchers. Whereas the 300 win plateau with low ERAs reflective of the dead ball, or pitcher dominated, eras prior to 1970 used to be a norm, it's become increasingly more difficult to get wins in the era of specialty relievers with starters leaving the game before the end of the sixth inning many times in close games. Conversely, however, one would think this would benefit starting pitchers ERA by seldom going through a lineup more than twice in some cases, rarely more than three times. Also, after many years of closers not being strongly considered, Mariano Rivera became the first and only to date unanimous inductee to the Hall, along with Trevor Hoffman and Lee Smith in recent years. The doors have opened a bit in that regard. In the end, I strongly weigh dominance over a reasonable period of time, along with Cy Young Awards, All-Star games, Win titles, career saves, and ERA.
3) There is also first and last ballot bias. First ballot some BBWAA voters will hold their vote to protect some sort of integrity of being a "first ballot hall of famer". Evidence, three voters who did not include Ken Griffey Jr. in 2016. Likewise, when a player is on his last ballot (as Tim Raines was in 2017, Edgar Martinez in 2019, and Larry Walker in 2020) voters who previously withheld tend to pay a bit more attention to their candidacy considering it's a final shot and vote accordingly. Editors note, I advocated for Walker and Martinez all along, did not so for Raines. So a bump is normal (up to 15% for a candidate close to election). Neither of these is a major factor this year as the ballot lacks any strong first ballot candidates, and no candidates in their final year (however, 2022 will be a doozy).
With a limit of ten players on a ballot, here are the players I would put on my ballot (in order of my credibility). I don't use all ten votes or even half. In fact, my prior Blog ballot in 2018, only two are not yet in, they will appear below.
|Billy the Kid|
Factors against him: Only 900 career IP, lack of postseason success
Wagner jumped from around 17% in year four up to over 30% in year five. As several high profile inductees cleared the list to make room on ballots and he seems to be getting more scrutiny which is good. I'm still guessing he'll never gets in during the ten year window, but may get in on a veteran ballot in decades to come once the Hall figures out how to assess relievers.
|Helton Belts one|
Factors against him: Playing in Denver, huge home/road split differences
Helton jumped from 16.5% to 29.2% in his first to second year (now in his third). This is encouraging. Probably not the next two, but assuming his momentum keeps going he'll be to 50% in a couple of years and then likely in by year 7 or 8.
|Kent joins Clemens and Bonds as the only|
former MVPs on the ballot
3) Jeff Kent - Last Blog I did in 2018 I had listed him as my 8th pick out of 8. One of the top offensive second basemen of all time. His line across the major stats is .290, 377, and 1518. He has an MVP in his closet, and three other Top 10 finishes. Add to that six All-Star appearances and four silver sluggers. He's 54th all time in RBI (more than Mantle, Vlad, Rice) with most of those eligible ahead of him already inducted. His power numbers dwarf Ryne Sandberg and Roberto Alomar, but is getting very little buzz or momentum.
Factors against him: Below average on defense, late bloomer, played in a power era in which his home run numbers aren't considered extraordinary, cold to media.
Kent started around 15% and only last year got more than 20% with 27.5% of the votes. Now in his eighth year it seems like he won't get close. Not a popular guy around the league from my memory he may not get much love on veterans ballots either.
|Shilling was a dominant force|
Factors against him: The aforementioned lackluster wins/ERA take him from can't ignore to can ignore but mostly his interaction with the media and political opinions.
Schilling went from 61% to 70% from year 7 to year 8. Normally this momentum would be certain to get in, however that 30% against him may be inconvincible. Like Kent, if he doesn't get in by 2022, he may not get veterans committee support due to his lack of likeability within the game.
First four out
5) Scott Rolen - Really good, but Hall of Fame worthy? A good Twitter debate I had noted that by most any measure, he was a Top Ten 3B of all time. The position is underrepresented it seems in Cooperstown. Numbers are solid but not overwhelming. Certainly elite defense and 7 All Star games are good. I just don't feel like when you played a team with Rolen, he was the guy to watch out for in the lineup. Only two Top 15 MVP finishes. Never led the league in any major statistical category. Only one Silver Slugger. I'll keep my eye on him going forward but does no make the cut for now.
Factors against him: Not elite at anything, very good at everything. No overwhelming stat accomplishment at which to point.
He's surging pretty well, from 10.2%, to 17.2%, to 35.3% in three years. This is a trajectory which leans toward getting in. Also a popular guy in the league on good teams, would likely get in on a veterans ballot if the surge stalls out. Not a chance this year.
6) Andruw Jones - Power, speed, and defense, he was a 5-tool player. Started his career at 19, but wore out at Age 35, he still hit well over 400 HR. His .254 batting average really drags him down, with a lack of huge walk numbers it leaves him only .337 OBP. His defense was his calling card, but also won a Silver Slugger and narrowly missed the MVP in 2005 to Albert Pujols. I will keep him on my radar, that batting average though.
Factors against him: Low batting average, barely was a factor after age 30.
After two years of barely staying on the ballot, is starting to at least get discussion. Year 3 was 19.4% so he'll stay on the ballot through 10 years. I've seen more social media campaigning on him than anyone. I don't think he gets in after the 10 years.
7) Bobby Abreu - I will at least say he needs more discussion. If you look at all the 2021 NBHOF candidates OPS, the only one ahead of him not associated with PEDs is the aforementioned Todd Helton. Switch hitter with eight years in a row of over 100 walks, was durable playing 162 twice during his career. Modest power but produced 100 RBI in eight seasons. Good speed as well with 400 career SBs. But no Top 10 MVP finishes, one Silver Slugger and one Gold Glove and only two All Star games. I think overlooked but not worthy in the end.
Factors against him: Never seemed elite related to peers (see AS Games, SS, GG), not a lot of home run power
Barely eeked out 5.5% of the vote in his first ballot certainly is better than that. In a low year of top candidates (Jeter, Walker cleared, no major first timers) he may get a bump from voters who maxed out their 2020 ballot at 10. Little chance of ever being inducted.
8) Aramis Ramirez - Interestingly close comparison to Rolen on offense. More HR, more RBI, a better career batting average, slugging almost identical. Did not get on base as much. Good defender, but not elite like Rolen. Three Top 10 MVP votes (but never higher than 9), only 3 All Star games. A single silver slugger. This is where I draw the line just above he and Rolen, as there starts to be a lot of guys that look like this over a long career.
Factors against him: Never seemed like an elite player at his time. Very good across the board, not extraordinary
Ramirez is in his first year on the ballot, there's a chance he doesn't get 5%. He should get more like 10%. Another guy I don't see making it in the long run.
Most of the remaining repeat candidates fall into the PED category. Their stats are more than deserving, even before they might have juiced, but would not get my vote): Barry Bonds, Sammy Sosa, Roger Clemens, Manny Ramirez, Gary Sheffield, Andy Pettitte. All would easily be in without it except maybe Pettitte who would be close anyway (would not get my vote even without PEDs).
The only other returning candidate not discussed is Omar Vizquel. Like Schilling, I don't consider his recent off the field issue in my voting. I just don't see enough offense. The defense was there. There's a long history of middle infielders leaning on good defense and good enough offense to get in, but I don't see Vizquel in that category. Only a .336 OBP, worst of this pool of candidates besides Torii Hunter. He got >50% of the vote last year in his 4th ballot and probably will get in by the BBWAA. I'd be in the 25% not voting for him,
Newcomers that might stay on the ballot (besides Ramirez mentioned above): Torii Hunter, Mark Buehrle, Tim Hudson. I don't see any of the rest staying.
So my opinions aside, I think only Curt Schilling gets in this year. May be a null class.
Here is my mock ballot
The 2022 Ballot will be a battle royal. Likely to contain the last chances for Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Sammy Sosa, and Curt Schilling (if not this year). Will include PED suspended Alex Rodriguez, DH extraordinaire David Ortiz, and former MVP Jimmy Rollins in their first ballots. Mark Teixeira another strong first time candidate. Buckle up buttercup, next years blog of this sort will be a doozy!
Note that the 2020 inductees will be honored this year since no ceremony was held last year. That includes Derek Jeter, Larry Walker, Ted Simmons, and Marvin Miller on July 25, 2021.
Monday, December 28, 2020
Perhaps the best all around offensive weapon in the NFL was unleashed upon his foe and showed no mercy. New Orleans Saints uber-back Alvin Kamara kept gashing the Minnesota Vikings for huge chunks of yards, many times the only thing that stopped him was the end of the field when there were no more yards to gain. Many times is six times. Six touchdowns on 22 carries tied an NFL record that was over 90 years old. Kamara rushed for 155 yards total or 7 Yards Per Carry without any gains over 40 yards. The Saints clinched the NFC South with the victory with an eye on the number one seed and a potential bye. Either way they are positioned for two home playoff games with a win on Sunday. Kamara complementing Drew Brees and the potent passing game my put the Saints in the Super Bowl for the first time in over 10 years. He is the Longhorndave Sportsman of the Week!
Tuesday, December 22, 2020
The college football season ended with a flourish, as feverish debates over teams' playoff worthiness and conference championship pedigree. Ohio State was on the playoff bubble, but thanks to our Sportsman of the Week, busted through to earn a berth and even move up a seed. Senior running back Trey Sermon delivered his career best performance in perhaps the biggest moment in leading the Buckeyes to their 4th straight conference championship with a 22-10 victory over the Northwestern Wildcats. And I do mean career performance. Sermon rushed for a Buckeye and Big 10 title game record 331 yards on a workman like 29 carries and both Buckeye TDs to get the job done. One might wonder why Ohio State tried to throw the ball at all as Heisman candidate Justin Fields faltered with a sore thumb and ineffectiveness. Sermon made sure that the Buckeye congregation is moving on and looks to deliver them their first National Championship in 6 years.
Wednesday, December 16, 2020
College football winds down with a feverish debate one playoff teams with limited resumes, however the performance on Saturday by our Sportsman of the Week left no room for doubt in performance. North Carolina tailback Michael Carter absolutely shredded the Miami Hurricanes defense for a record 308 yards and 2 TD. And it took only 24 carries as 5'8" Carter just ripped through the Cane defense for huge chunks of yards including a game high 65 yard tote for a TD. The complete thrashing defied Miami's reputation at home and one-loss posture coming into the game as they were dismissed out of a big bowl and game and the Tar Heels enter. The Orange Bowl is looking like a big chance for the Heels, and our Sportsman of the Week made it so.
Tuesday, December 8, 2020
An historic performance for a tight end you may not have heard of earns our Sportsman of the Week honors. His contributions were critical to getting a miracle win to keep his team in the playoffs. Las Vegas Raiders TE Darren Waller notched over 200 yards receiving and two touchdowns in a 31-28 win on the last play over the New York Jets. It was only the sixth time a tight end registered 200 yards in a game. While he didn't catch the game winning TD in the waning seconds, no way the Raiders are there without him. After a few seasons of nondescript opportunity and results, Waller burst on the scene in 2019 with five 100 yard games, and this week's was his second 100 yard performance of 2020 to go with a career high 7 TD on the season. Waller is second in the league in TE receiving yards, and a big name to watch as our Sportsman of the Week!
Monday, November 30, 2020
What a Thanksgiving week of football and what a feast our Sportsman of the Week partook in. Record breaking. Buffalo Bulls running back Jaret Patterson made minced turkey of the Kent State defense in a humiliating effort and turning eyes toward the MAC team that may be able to beat anybody. Patterson made the Flashes look like a high school team in getting (wait for it), 409 yards. And 8 touchdowns. All this on 36 carries so that's a TD every 4.5 touches and 11.4 yards per carry. Ridiculous. This was coming off a 301 yard performance the week before. And 4 touchdowns. Patterson is making up for lost time due to the virus and taking prisoners. Certainly a worthy Sportsman of the Week performance!
Monday, November 23, 2020
As the college football season enters Thanksgiving (rivalry) week it seems like it just started. Well for some teams (Utah) it just did. But other teams have been battling for a couple of months and making a push for a Conference Championship. Enter the 8-0 University of Cincinnati Bearcats. Officially the preseason pick for second place in the American Athletic Conference, they knocked off the favorite Central Florida Knights to take the top spot angling for their first outright conference title since 2009. In a see-saw game against the rival Knights in Orlando, the Bearcats leaned on the strong arm and competent legs of their star quarterback Desmond Ridder. Ridder pushed the ball down the field with his strong arm for a 21-32 and 338 yards for nearly 15 yards per completion. And two touchdowns. When he wasn't throwing he was running. 14 carries for 52 yards. And two more touchdowns. Clever decision making and dynamic athleticism made the Cats offense nearly unstoppable as they won the crucial game 36-33 (noting they were on the doorstep for another TD but opted to run out the clock instead of give UCF any chance to get the ball back). Ridder did it all and the Bearcats are positioning themselves for strong postseason consideration.