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I'm from Houston, a graduate of the University of Texas, a fan of the Houston Astros and Houston Texans. But this blog will be about the "greater sports", whatever that means.

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Wednesday, December 2, 2015

College Football Picks - 12/5/2015

Hat tip to my blog readers
We are well past a point of no return for profit, but the concept of sunk cost to a businessman like me is well understood.  I made profit last week.  I can make profit this week.  It's championship game week and here you have the best five games going.  But first a recap.

Winnings 11/28: $80 (3-2)
Winnings to date: -$900 (24-30-1, 15% loss)

Houston (-6) vs. Temple (11:00 am CST)

Houston at home after an impressive win over a good Navy team seems like the right play here.  Temple can probably keep it close, but a TD win or more would be expected from the Cougars, who are playing for a New Years Six bowl.

Florida (+17.5) vs. Alabama (3:00 pm CST) - Atlanta

On paper, this spread seems about right with Florida reeling from a near OT loss to Florida Atlantic then absolute domination by the Florida State Seminoles.  But the stakes are high here, so look for the Gators to come out strong (remembering their coach McElwain is familiar with Alabama).  Saban also has a strong "just win baby, no reason to cover" approach many times, milking leads late with predictable running plays.

Stanford (-4.5) vs. Southern California (6:45 pm CST) - Santa Clara

Stanford is coming off an impressive win against Notre Dame and has a lot to play for.  Including an outside shot at the Playoff.  I think they're a better team by at least a TD and might put a statement win together if they get momentum.

North Carolina (+5) vs. Clemson (7:00 pm CST) - Charlotte

Have you ever heard of "pulling a Clemson"?  Well we might see it this week.  The Tigers don't seem to be getting better.  Because of the depth (and by that I mean quantity of teams that aren't good) of the ACC, I'm not convinced that Clemson is that good.  North Carolina has a chip on their shoulder and I think wants to cause chaos.  I like the Heels straight up.

Michigan State (-3.5) vs. Iowa (7:17 pm CST) - Indianapolis - Pick of the Week

Michigan State is absolutely rolling.  And Connor Cook is healthier.  They didn't even need him to win at Ohio State.  Pat on the back for Iowa for the good season, but anything less than 10 points is a steal here.  Sparty on.

There will be a bowl pick special, unclear the format (all games, S/U, ATS, etc.) but it's been a great year (at least for excitement, not necessarily profit).   Thanks to all my readers!

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