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Friday, September 9, 2016

J.R. Ewing College Football Picks: 9/10/2016

I should have never picked against Texas
Not a great start to the season for the Blog picks, but not a disaster at 2-3.  Week 2 is always the hardest to handicap because you have just one data point (which one is likely to overreact) and teams improve the most between Weeks 1 and 2.  In other words, nobody knows what to expect (gamblers nightmare).  So stick to fundamentals and see how it works out.

Summary:
Previous Week: 2-3 (-$130)
Season: 2-3 (-$130)

Each week I give you five picks at -110 against the spread.  You figure you spread your genius over 5 picks, you can feast (and you get a net win or loss every week).  Point spreads by VegasInsider.com.



Penn State (+5) at Pittsburgh (Noon EDT)
Can't pass up picking a rivalry game, as the Nittany Lions and Panthers face off for 9th time, but first time since 2000.  Expect steady improvement from Penn State who is getting their feet under them after the Joe Paterno fallout and a new coach.  To me, Penn State looked stronger in Week 1 so given a few points, I'll take Nittany.

Ohio (+2.5) at Kansas (2:30 pm EDT)

Let's not get too ahead of ourselves with Kansas.  They still only have 4 wins against FBS teams over the last three years.  Ohio is a solid MAC team that plays consistently and gives every team a challenge.  in a near pick'em game, I like the team that's used to winning.


Tennessee (-11) vs. Virginia Tech (Bristol Motor Speedway, 8:00 pm EDT)

Tennessee is hungry to bounce back and got caught by a very good Appalachian State team known for early season upsets.  They come out for blood and catch Virginia Tech in phase one of rebuilding mode.  Two touchdowns is easy.

Texas Tech (+2.5) at Arizona State (10:00 pm EDT)


Texas Tech's offense is nearly impossible to prepare for.  In what is a tossup pairing of teams likely bowl bound, but not likely to contend for a conference title, I take the slight underdog.


Oregon (-24) vs. Virginia (10:30 pm EDT)

Virginia was really bad at home in a humiliating loss to Richmond.  Oregon's defense is suspect, but the offense should roll.  In a very high scoring game I would like the Ducks to win something like 50-21, easily covering the 24 pts.

Have a great Saturday!

-JR

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