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Friday, September 19, 2014

College Football 2014 - Week Four Picks

I guess things are looking up, I at least came near to break even this week.  Hit half ATS but missed the upset pick.  So just losing on the house take.  Upward trend though!  So here's the latest metrics:

Stats read (ATS, S/U upset pick)

Coming into week: -$360 (3-7, 1-1)
Week Three: -$120 (2-2-1, 0-1)
Season total: -$480 (5-9-1, 1-2)

Get on the bandwagon now, won't be room after this week!  Here are your five ATS picks plus the upset special!

Rutgers (+6.5) at Navy 
Rutgers lost a heartbreaker to a good Penn State team last week.  This is a solid team that should be able to go into Navy (not the most hostile environments) and outphysical the Midshipmen.  Especially if you'll give me a touchdown.

Central Michigan (+3.5) at Kansas 
Kansas is bad.  Really bad.  Central Michigan looked good against (Big 10) Purdue, then lousy against (ACC) Syracuse.  I still don't see Kansas winning this game.  If anything, CMU comes out with a chip on their shoulder in this one.  And you're giving me over a field goal

Michigan (-3.5) vs. Utah 
Just barely over a field goal? Really? In the Big House?  Utah may play close (or may not) but if I had to pick a side this falls, it's going to go to the Wolverines by over a TD.

Clemson (+14.5) at Florida State
Jameis Winston now out for the FULL game, I'm not sure this line is valid (but it is at the time of this post).  I liked Clemson to be in this game when Mr. Heisman was only out a half.  Clemson has a chip on their shoulder.  FSU seems complacent.  Ripe for upset.

Northern Illinois (+13.5) at Arkansas 
Too many points to pass up, but Northern Illinois usually hangs tough.  Maybe Arkansas dominates, but I'll take the points and see what happens.

Straight up Special
Rutgers (+225) at Navy 
Same reasons as above, this is a pick'em game at best and I'm getting some good money line.

Looking forward to an exciting weekend!

-JR Ewing

1 comment:

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