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Saturday, November 1, 2014

College Football 2014 - Week Ten Picks

What's this?  A second straight week in the black?  You betcha.  Starting to get a little momentum and I don't plan on stopping this week! Still time to pull this out!

Stats (ATS, S/U upset pick)
Coming into week: -$1150 (14-25-1, 3-5)
Previous Week: +190 (4-1, 0-1)
Season total: -$960 (18-26-1, 3-6)

Another full slate of conference games and great options, here are the five best bets plus a S/U special!

Duke (+3.5) at Pittsburgh We've been riding Duke on a number of occasions.  They keep getting points and they keep winning.  Here more than a FG seems like too much against a Pittsburgh team that's lost 4 of their last 5 and are 1-3 in conference play.  We roll with the Blue Devils.

Auburn (+2) at Mississippi
This might be the beginning of the end for Mississippi.  Great effort last week for the Rebels, but the schedule isn't going to let up.  And they're getting banged up as they run the gauntlet.  I like the Tigers if you're going to give me a couple of points.

Georgia (-11.5) vs Florida (at Jacksonville)
Florida has had two weeks to stew on their humiliating home loss to Missouri.  Coach Muschamp is in "bunker mentality", I think this is a coach without answers and a team that knows the end is near.  Georgia is rolling, they'll win by two TDs.

Iowa State(+16.5) vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma has one win since September 20 and that was a game in which they were outplayed by the stumbling Texas Longhorns.  Iowa State has played good teams tough (Iowa, Kansas State, Texas) and should be able to keep it within a couple of TDs.

West Virginia (+4.5) vs. TCU
West Virginia is a beast at home.  When the rest of the teams travel east, there's an adjustment to make.  A rowdy crowd is guaranteed.  TCU piled up points against a Texas Tech team, but it will be tougher sledding against the Mountaineers.  I like home teams getting points.

Straight up Special
Arizona (+230) at UCLA
UCLA hasn't been sharp this year but keeps finding ways to win (Texas, Colorado).  Arizona has been extremely strong and looks poised to raid the Rose Bowl and leave with a win.  It's not the juiciest underdog, but this looks on paper more like a pick'em game for me.  You could take the 6.5 points as well, just like the above better.

Good luck to your team and have fun!

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