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I'm from Houston, a graduate of the University of Texas, a fan of the Houston Astros and Houston Texans. But this blog will be about the "greater sports", whatever that means.

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Saturday, January 11, 2014

2013-14 NFL Week Two Playoff Preview

Betting information courtesy of 5dimes.com at the time of post (this blog has no affiliation with that site).

Well things didn't exactly go my way last week.  With $12,000 on the line, I recovered $6,753 (mostly on O/U) with a record of 3-8-1.  Alas, I can take the $5K+ hit, especially when I know I got sure winners this week!

Recap of how this works. Each week of the NFL Playoffs I'll preview the games, predict final scores, and oh, by the way, keep track of my overall oil money for straight up, ATS, and O/U on each game.  For ATS and O/U, $1100 is the Wager.  For S/U (a.k.a. Money Line), it's $1000 on either side (reduced income for heavy favorites)

Week 2 features teams who had to battle in the Wild Card weekend against teams that were the best four in the regular season AND had a Bye week.  The Bye Week can be a double edged sword, but for the most part, teams will take it.  So without further ado, let's preview!

January 11, 2014: 16:35 EST
New Orleans Saints (+8.5, +340) vs. Seattle Seahawks (-8.5, -380) O/U 44.5
The Saints proved me wrong last week with a somewhat surprising road win in Philadelphia.  The Saints have a balanced team, but usually doesn't do such things on the road.  Now they go to arguably the toughest stadium to visit in Seattle against who many think are the best balanced team.  Nothing here looks like it will be different than the first time the faced off here earlier this season, so I predict the same final score.  Final Prediction: Seahawks 34 Saints 7.


January 11, 2014: 20:15 EST
Indianapolis Colts (+7, +270) vs. New England Patriots (-7, -300) O/U 53.5
Indianapolis played one of the most entertaining games in Wild Card Weekend, with a furious comeback against the Kansas City Chiefs to win by one.  The Colts relied on Luck's (sometimes errant) arm and a monster day from (Co-sportsman of the Week) T.Y. Hilton.  The Patriots always seem to win at home in the playoffs and will scheme their defense to stop the Colts passing attack and win a very technical game. Final Prediction: Patriots 31 Colts 17.

January 12, 2014: 13:05 EST
San Francisco 49ers  (+1, -110) vs. Carolina Panthers (+1, +110) O/U 41
Most fans have this game circled as being the most entertaining.  The Panthers won the two seed in the NFC, but fans have seen San Francisco perform in the postseason and know they'll battle.  The game is in Carolina, again, most fans don't fear that crowd.  With Kaepernick's experience, I think the Niners TCB and move on.  Relatively easily. Final Prediction: 49ers 28, Panthers 17.

January 12, 2014: 16:40 EST
San Diego Chargers (+9, +335) vs. Denver Broncos (-9, -375) O/U 54.5
The Chargers are starting to look like a team of destiny, having won four in a row to make the playoffs, then embarrassing the Cincinnati Bengals last Sunday.  But they still don't look too good doing it.  However, one of those four wins was against these same Broncos in this same stadium.  The environment won't bother the Bolts, but the Broncos offense will.  I do think it will be close, but Peyton and the Broncos prevail.  Final Prediction: Broncos 38, Chargers 35.

The three "best bets" it would be:
1) Saints vs. Seahawks: Under
2) 49ers: Money Line
3) Patriots: ATS

Best Bets were 2-1 last week.

For full playoff analysis, check out the Sports-Kings YouTube Channel:

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