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I'm from Houston, a graduate of the University of Texas, a fan of the Houston Astros and Houston Texans. But this blog will be about the "greater sports", whatever that means.

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Thursday, January 19, 2012

NFL Playoff Week Three Predictions

Betting information courtesy of 5dimes.com at the time of post (this blog has no affiliation with that site)

January 22, 2012: 15:00 EST
Baltimore Ravens (+7, +275) vs. New England Patriots (-7, -305) O/U 50.5
The seeds held form here on the AFC side of the ledger, I do think these were the best two teams at seasons end. The Patriots seem to be playing with an urgency (and a Gronkowski) that I haven't seen in years past. The Ravens, while good on defense, are looking old. They made plays against a rookie QB, but this is Tom Brady. And he has weapons. The X factor in this game is Ray Rice, if he gets going, the Ravens can keep the ball away from that potent offense and perhaps keep it within striking distance at the end. I'm going with the consensus here, though. Patriots year. Final Prediction: Patriots 27, Ravens 17.

January 22, 2012: 18:30 EST
New York Giants (+2.5, +118) vs. San Francisco 49ers (-2.5, -128) O/U 42
I've seen this movie before, the Giants on a mission. Eli Manning in a zone. Defense playing the best of the season. Offense making just enough plays to resemble a title team that wasn't evident at points in the regular season. I'm so hesitant to bet against the Niners, though. I called them underrated last week (knew it), picked against them, and they won. Same this week, how can I pick against this team? I just have to. Something about the Giants. I predict a rough day for the brothers Harbaugh (but nothing to apologize for). Final Prediction: Giants 23, 49ers 16.

Gambling summary :

Week one moved my cash from 1200 (100 per betting prop) to 1470 (big $$ on the Broncos money line).

Week two saw me drop deep in the hole, around 1185 after day one, then 1015 before the final contest. But hit all three props there (Giants S/U, Giants ATS, Over) and ended at 1492. A 0.8% profit (that's called breaking even, folks).

My 3-game parlays should be ignored, my confidence doesn't seem to be in line with what happens

But in case you are interested, best bets (for parlay)
Giants ATS
Giants S/U
Patriots ATS

1 comment:

  1. Good day at the Sportsbook, hit on 5 of 6 props (dropping only the Pats ATS). Total gained would be 324 (assuming 600 wagered). 54% any way you look at it!